UFC FN150 Betting Tips & Plays

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Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings enormous power on the feet and a durable style to adopt brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by technical boxers but contrary to the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top rated competitive striker for the branch, he was very competitive. Perry is powerful from the clinch but his takedown defense is still unproven against a legitimate grappler. Cowboy could exploit the ground game as he’s underrated wrestling, but he tends to struggle unpredictable gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a frequent problem and here against Perry that could be a significant mistake. He’s got big electricity himself but both men are very hittable. On the toes it probably favours Perry, at least for the first half of the fight when he is most dangerous. Look for a back and forth war, together with the durability of Perry making the difference — as both guys absorb serious damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a 3 fight losing streak but has been competitive in most fights going way back to his KO loss to Ngannou. At 40 years old that he brings a much less aggressive fashion nowadays which has lead to six consecutive decisions. His output looks to be slowing but his precise boxing fashion remains, permitting him to work behind a jab against diminished competitions. Sakai is considerably younger so could be advancing, but so far has failed to impress. He is large and yells powerful yet slow singular strikes, with low quantity. Mostly a fighter, Arlovski won’t need to be worried about too many different weapons.
This is very likely to be a slow struggle using the more effective striker coming out on top. Start looking for Arlovski to avoid exchanges and poke Sakai from the exterior or utilize his wrestling to hold him against the fence. If he can avoid becoming caught a decision here is probably for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski in 2.30 (+130) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a severe BJJ blackbelt making her UFC introduction with a 14-0 record. She’s jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst limited with striking, she’s relentless with takedowns and has a wide variety of techniques to get conflicts to the ground. On top she is quite strong, maintaining control and attacking subs. This is obviously a large step up in competition from Invicta against Esparza, a true veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and has not shown great takedown shield to match her offensive wrestling skills. She would be best to try and keep this battle standing where her improved striking ought to have the ability to edge out quantity.
Jandiroba isn’t proven at this level but looks to be the real deal, demonstrating exceptional method and composure. Worst case situation Esparza is able to defend her off back and make scrambles to force striking exchanges, taking us into a close decision. A better situation is Jandiroba dominating with her top control and procuring a unanimous conclusion or finding a submission. An Esparza end is quite unlikely. Given the odds and respective avenues to success, a shot to the newcomer at money is fantastic value.

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