NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Phoenix is only 11-40 complete this season, with four wins in 25 attempts away from home. Overall, the Suns have retained lots of their games alongside an 11-14 record from the spread as the visiting team. They’re just 2-7 ATS this year and 13-28 ATS in their last 41 against divisional opponents.
The Lakers are 15-11 in their home floor so far this year. In general, they’re 20-27 against the spread, such as a 9-15 record against the spread at home. Oddly enough, they’re just 7-17 ATS when facing teams with a losing record. They have covered and won seven of their last ten meetings between the teams, however.
One thing we know for certain is that Phoenix has had a extremely tough time slowing down its opponents this season. The Suns are have enabled at least 120 points in backend losses, while giving up 111 points or more in each of the last seven losses. Devin Booker and Kelly Oubre Jr. have done their very best to carry Phoenix despite their bad defense. However, despite Booker averaging 25.2 points per match and Oubre averaging 17.2 points per game over the previous seven days, the Suns haven’t been able to snap out of their funk.
One of the main concerns right now is that they are playing with no Deandre Ayton, T.J. Warren and De’Anthony Melton. That is two of the top few point-getters while Melton had been the team’s top point guard. It is a lot to overcome for a group which was terrible to begin with.
Los Angeles Lakers
The challenge for the Lakers on Sunday night is that they could be without a lot more talent besides James. They are hoping Kyle Kuzma is ready to proceed after he missed Saturday’s practice and is thought of as a game-time decision for Sunday. Bear in mind, the staff is without Lonzo Ball. James, Kuzma and Ball are three of the best four players on the team in terms of minutes played.
That usually means the Lakers will need guys Brandon Ingram and Ivica Zubac to carry the load — even if Kuzma plays. Ingram has averaged 19.3 points per game over the last week but he has mostly been a disappointment this year. He’s got a PER of just 11.9. Zubac has awarded the team a shot in the arm as he has averaged 17.8 points and 7.8 rebounds in his last four contests.
There’s no question that the Lakers are fighting and that they’ll be shorthanded. However, losses at home to the Phoenix Suns — who is both shorthanded — are inexcusable. Look for the Lakers to win but the Suns to pay.
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